Independent analytics for Numerai.

nmrdash is an independent analytics dashboard for the Numerai stock market prediction tournament. It brings public tournament data into interactive charts and research notes for data scientists and tournament participants.

The dashboard follows Classic, Signals and Crypto where source coverage is available. Each chart states its own population, time window and units.

Explore the dashboard

Live rounds

Unresolved rounds of Numerai’s stake-weighted meta-model, aligned by scoring day. Compare CORR20 and CORR60 without extending a round into its unobserved future.

Stake and concentration

Historical NMR stake across tournaments and the share of Classic stake held by the largest accounts. Ownership gaps appear as bounds rather than false precision.

Reported holdings

Quarterly SEC 13F securities values for Numerai GP LLC. These reported holdings cover part of fund AUM; they are not a measure of total assets or investment returns.

Model correlation and quality

Pairwise score histories and per-round model score distributions. Score-history correlation describes shared outcomes; it does not establish that models use the same predictions or strategy.

Performance and stake returns

Final prediction scores and settled position-return distributions, with stake tiers and staking regimes kept distinct. Position returns are not annual investment yields.

Models and users

Historical submitting models and identifiable accounts, split by whether they staked. Incomplete coverage remains visible, and missing totals stay missing.

Read each metric in context

Prediction scores, committed capital and payouts answer different questions. Atomic Classic payouts use the round’s configured CORR60 and MMC60 scores. Legacy CORR20 and MMC fields retain their historical meaning; BMC means Benchmark Model Contribution.

NMR at stake measures prediction risk, not ownership of fund assets. Economic losses can create deferred burn debt before tokens are destroyed. A settled round return divides its net NMR outcome by the same position’s principal, without annualization.

The Numerai metrics guide explains the definitions. How Numerai works connects predictions, atomic positions and capital recycling.

Public sources, visible freshness

Tournament data comes from public Numerai APIs. Reported securities values come from SEC Form 13F filings. The dashboard publishes collected snapshots, and each chart shows the relevant source dates and coverage.

Collection runs daily. Publication time does not prove that every source is equally fresh: final scores, provisional rounds, historical ownership and quarterly filings follow different schedules. Missing observations remain gaps.

Classic is tournament 8, Signals is tournament 11 and Crypto is tournament 12. Their score definitions, payout rules and capital requirements differ. Compare them only within the scope stated by a chart or article.

Research and authorship

Research is published under the nmrdash name, the same independent community project that maintains this dashboard. The public source repository contains the collectors, metric definitions and article text.

The article library contains research on staking economics, model behavior, tournament mechanics and Numerai’s reported holdings. Articles retain their original publication and review dates, together with their charts and method notes. Their historical samples should be read within those dates.

Interpretations should be read against the stated population, data window and exclusions. Link and presentation updates keep the library usable as the website changes; they do not extend a study’s sample. Current charts show their own observation dates.

Contact

For questions or corrections, email info@nmrdash.com or open an issue. Include the chart or article, tournament, round or observation date, and the primary source supporting the correction. Corrections can be inspected in the repository history.

nmrdash is not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by Numerai. Data is provided as-is for informational purposes. Verify tournament details with the official numer.ai site.

Changelog