Numerai Classic model score distributions

Per-round distributions of individual Classic models’ final CORR20 and CORR60 scores, with median, standard deviation and roster coverage.

Coverage & dates

Record date range
to
Date meaning
Round opening dates in UTC. Each score horizon becomes final independently. The range can include gaps; it does not imply complete observations throughout.
Collected
· 01:31:58 UTC
Prepared by
nmrdash, from the public sources below.

Sources & methods

Per-round median of available individual models' final CORR20 and CORR60, with a band equal to median plus/minus one population standard deviation of those same scores. Models have equal weight. No rolling average or warm-up period. Missing scores are excluded, never zero-filled. Partial published rosters are included with returned/submitted and scored-model counts disclosed; these distributions may differ from the full population. Each metric has independent finality. Dates are round opening dates.

The chart uses equal model weights and median ±1 population standard deviation. Available scores from partial rosters are included with coverage disclosed; these can differ from the full population. No rolling average is applied.

Source fields: Numerai roundDetails.models.v2Corr20 / corr60; independent final score clocks from public model submissionScores (integration_test, with a second model for missing historical rounds); roundScoreConfigs and round target.

JSON fields

Paths use [] for array items and * for metric keys such as corr20 and corr60. Absent fields or null values mean unavailable information; a numeric zero remains a real observation.

Fields in model-performance.json
FieldMeaningUnit
fetched_atCollection timestamp in UTC. This does not establish the observation date or score finality.Timestamp
definition_versionVersion of the dataset’s measurement and export definition.Text
points[].roundNumerai Classic round number.See definition
points[].timeRound opening timestamp in UTC.See definition
points[].round_targetTarget universe configured for the round.See definition
points[].total_modelsExpected submitted model count, when known.models
points[].returned_modelsNumber of model records returned by the source.models
points[].roster_completeWhether the collected model roster is complete.See definition
points[].metrics.*.score_nameOfficial metric name; * selects corr20 or corr60.See definition
points[].metrics.*.versionMetric definition version.See definition
points[].metrics.*.final_dateFinal score observation date.See definition
points[].metrics.*.scored_modelsNumber of available model scores in this distribution.models
points[].metrics.*.medianMedian of available individual model final scores.CORR
points[].metrics.*.std_devPopulation standard deviation of those same model scores.CORR
points[].metrics.*.lowerMedian minus one population standard deviation.CORR
points[].metrics.*.upperMedian plus one population standard deviation.CORR
points[].metrics.*.missing_reasonExplanation for an unavailable score distribution.See definition

Download

Download model-performance.json · application/json

Definition version: numerai-classic-round-model-performance-v1. Decimal strings preserve exact amounts; use decimal arithmetic when working with NMR or USD totals.

See the release manifest for this file’s checksum and byte count. The download is public and needs no authentication or JavaScript.

Interactive charts can load newer snapshots. Compare collection and observation dates before combining a download with chart values or another release.

Browse all datasets · Report a data issue