Numerai Tournament Trends

Long-term trend analysis spanning 1.1K rounds from Jul 13, 2019 to May 19, 2026.

Analytics

Charts on This Page

Metric Distribution (Weekly and Daily)

Compares stake-weighted and equal-weight averages of scoring metrics (MMC, BMC, CORJ60, FNCv3) per round across 1.1K rounds from Jul 13, 2019 to May 19, 2026. When the stake-weighted average exceeds the equal-weight average, it indicates that higher-staked models are outperforming the average — meaning money follows skill. Shown separately for weekly and daily rounds.

Total Staked per Round

Area charts showing the total NMR staked each round for both weekly and daily round types. Tracks the growth or decline of capital committed to the Numerai tournament over time.

Earned vs Burned per Round

Stacked bar charts comparing total NMR earned by winning models against total NMR burned by underperforming models in each round. The split between green (earned) and red (burned) bars reveals whether the tournament was net-positive or net-negative for participants in any given period.

Net Payout per Round

Bar and line combined chart showing the net NMR payout per round alongside a cumulative payout trend line. Positive bars mean the tournament paid out more than it collected in burns; negative bars mean more was burned than earned.

Payout Factor Over Time

Line chart tracking the payout factor multiplier across rounds. The payout factor scales model payouts up or down based on tournament economics — a higher factor means each unit of score generates more NMR payout.

Participation per Round

Line charts showing the number of model submissions per round for both weekly and daily tournaments. Tracks the growth of active data scientists participating in the Numerai tournament over time.